Threat to Japan’s sushi? Fatty fish may foreshadow climate change

sushi culture

Nakatosa(Japan) – Japanese fishermen are worried that the katsuo (skipjack tuna) they’ve been catching has been unusually fatty and may signify changes in sea and climate.

This comes as Japan’s ageing population is threatening the sustainability of local fishing and related businesses such as the production of dried and fermented katsuo, and wasabi horseradish – an eye-watering condiment tucked under fish in a piece of sushi. In Kure, a district in Nakatosa town, many fishermen have gone out of business in the past three decades, said Takahiro Tanaka, a fourth-generation owner of a fishmonger who calls himself a “katsuo sommelier”.

For half a century, Takeo Nakajo has been catching katsuo, or skipjack tuna – indispensable in Japanese cuisine whether eaten raw, dried or used as a base for the broth.

But he and other fishermen in Kure, in Kochi prefecture in southwest Japan, have seen something worrying in the past two years – an unprecedented number of unusually fatty katsuo.

While heavier katsuo means more money, locals and experts say it indicates climate change and risk for katsuo numbers already under threat due to growing demand and overfishing.



“The fatty katsuo must have something to do with the water temperature,” said the 70-year-old Nakajo. “I have a sense of urgency thinking what if katsuo doesn’t come to the bay someday.”

Noriaki Ito, 57, head chef of 106-year-old restaurant Tsukasa, compares two pieces of different katsuo (skipjack tuna) with unusually abundant pink fat, in Kochi, Kochi Prefecture, Japan, May 13, 2022. It affirms it is getting more common for this unusual fat to show in fish during spring. “Never seen such fatty katsuo during this season of the year,” he said.

Noriaki Ito, the head chef at a century-old restaurant Tsukasa in Kochi City, said he too had “never seen such fatty katsuo during this season of the year”.

This is worrying as changes in the sea and climate have already wiped out some other fish “including a shellfish called chambara-gai that used to be Kochi’s speciality”, Ito added.

In Kure, a district in Nakatosa town, many fishermen have gone out of business in the past three decades, said Takahiro Tanaka, a fourth-generation owner of a fishmonger who calls himself a “katsuo sommelier”.

“We can distinguish different tastes of katsuo, just like ordinary French farmers may savour subtleties of wine … this place might be one of Japan’s last communities where katsuo is part of the daily culture,” he added.

“But without fishers, this won’t last,” Tanaka said.

Fisherman Nakajo also rued the ageing community and fewer successors. “I asked my grandson if he would take over, but he’s now studying to work at a government office,” Nakajo said.

Sushi culture at risk

Overfishing has already hit catch numbers and dealt a blow to the fishermen in Kochi who have stuck to traditional single-pole fishing methods versus large-scale seine fishing across the western Pacific.

Government data shows catch numbers in Kochi are only at a quarter of their 1980s peak.

“We have observed a catastrophic decline in landings over the last 10 years or so,” said Ukeda.

“A growing number of people fear we may no longer be able to eat katsuo in the near future if things continue like this.”

Production of katsuobushi, dried and fermented katsuo, often used as a shaved condiment over traditional Japanese dishes or as a broth base, is already suffering.

The number of katsuobushi manufacturers in Kochi has plunged from dozens some forty years ago to only a few, said Taichi Takeuchi, who runs one in the town of Usa.

“I’m really unsure if we can continue this,” said Takeuchi.

Wasabi, the tangy horseradish that is essential for Japanese food, especially sashimi and sushi, is facing similar production challenges.

Typhoons and rising temperatures have hurt production in Okutama, a mountainous area to the west of Tokyo, said Masahiro Hoshina, 72, head of the local wasabi growers’ association.

“I am extremely worried about the future of our farming,” Hoshina said.

The number of farmers in the area is down 75% from the 1950s due to depopulation, and unless something changes, some worry sushi itself could be endangered.

“The combination of raw fish and spice, as in katsuo and wasabi, is an art, and we must maintain both,” said Ukeda. “I never want to think about a future” without them, he added.


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